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> I asked Cary if a weather forecast giving a 51% chance of rain meant it would probably rain and therefore he believed it [b]would[/b] rain. He confirmed that it did. George has given a much more constructive analysis of what I see as a flaw in Cary&apos;s categories of probability, though I would like to propose a tiny adjustment to his table: - 0% = false  1-20% = almost certainly false 21-40% = probably false 41-60% = undecidable 61-80% = probably true 81-99% = almost certainly true 100% = true - My thanks to George for his much appreciated posting. - Cary says that [i]"things we can figure out and know are more valuable than things we can only speculate about. If you don&apos;t already know that, I&apos;m obviously wasting my time. I&apos;m done."[/i] - I&apos;m reluctant to let you have the last word on this, and would suggest that discussions on how life and the universe came into being, the question and nature of God&apos;s existence, the question and nature of an afterlife, the basis of moral codes etc. are at least as valuable as figuring out percentages of possibility/probability and definitions of "belief". However, I&apos;m truly sorry to have exhausted your patience, and hope that [i]"I&apos;m done"[/i] refers to this particular thread and not to the website in general. If it&apos;s the latter, I can only hope we shall meet in the just afterlife you&apos;re betting on, though I suspect I shan&apos;t make it.